Viewing archive of Saturday, 2 March 2024

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2024 Mar 02 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 62 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Mar 2024

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C6 event observed at 02/1258Z from Region 3595 (N20W35). There are currently 6 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (03 Mar, 04 Mar, 05 Mar).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 578 km/s at 02/0719Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 216 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on day one (03 Mar), quiet to unsettled levels on day two (04 Mar) and quiet levels on day three (05 Mar).
III. Event Probabilities 03 Mar to 05 Mar
Class M25%25%25%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       02 Mar 152
  Predicted   03 Mar-05 Mar 150/155/150
  90 Day Mean        02 Mar 163

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 01 Mar  009/009
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 02 Mar  009/011
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 03 Mar-05 Mar  010/012-008/010-006/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Mar to 05 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active25%15%05%
Minor storm05%05%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm20%25%15%
Major-severe storm20%25%10%

All times in UTC

<< Go to daily overview page

Latest news

Support SpaceWeatherLive.com!

A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online!

62%
Support SpaceWeatherLive with our merchandise
Check out our merchandise

Latest alerts

Get instant alerts!

Space weather facts

Last X-flare2024/05/15X2.9
Last M-flare2024/05/17M7.1
Last geomagnetic storm2024/05/16Kp6 (G2)
Spotless days
Last spotless day2022/06/08
Monthly mean Sunspot Number
April 2024136.5 +31.6
May 2024156.6 +20.1
Last 30 days174.5 +64.4

This day in history*

Solar flares
12023M4.5
22000M3.96
32023M3.8
42023M2.2
52023M1.9
ApG
1198157G3
2199031G2
3197139G2
4195236G2
5193429G2
*since 1994

Social networks