Viewing archive of Friday, 6 August 2010
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2010 Aug 06 2201 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 218 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Aug 2010IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 1093 (N12E45) produced a
C1 flare at 2135Z. New region 1095 (S19E34) was numbered today.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a chance for an isolated C-class flare from Regions 1093
and 1094 (N26W71).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was mostly quiet. An isolated unsettled
period was observed at 06/0600Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be mostly quiet with an isolated chance of unsettled
levels during the next three days (07 - 09 August).
III. Event Probabilities 07 Aug to 09 Aug
| Class M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 06 Aug 082 Predicted 07 Aug-09 Aug 084/084/082 90 Day Mean 06 Aug 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Aug 007/010 Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Aug 007/008 Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Aug-09 Aug 007/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Aug to 09 Aug
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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