Viewing archive of Saturday, 7 August 2010
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2010 Aug 07 2201 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 219 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Aug 2010IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z Solar activity was moderate. Region 1093 (N10E30)
produced an M1/2f flare at 07/1824Z. Associated with this event were
Tenflare signatures at 07/1827Z (110 sfu) and 07/1901Z (150 sfu)
along with Type II (675 km/s) and Type IV radio sweeps.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low with C-class flares likely from Region 1093 and 1095
(S18E19). A chance of M-class activity is possible from Region 1093.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be mostly quiet with an isolated chance of unsettled
levels during the next three days (08 - 10 August).
III. Event Probabilities 08 Aug to 10 Aug
| Class M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 07 Aug 085 Predicted 08 Aug-10 Aug 084/082/080 90 Day Mean 07 Aug 076
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 Aug 006/008 Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Aug 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Aug-10 Aug 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Aug to 10 Aug
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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