Viewing archive of Monday, 31 March 1997

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Mar 31 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 090 Issued at 2200Z on 31 MAR 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30-2100Z to 31-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED. REGION 8026 (S24E20) HAS SLOWLY DECAYED SINCE YESTERDAY, AND IS CURRENTLY AN 11 SPOT 'DAO' BETA GROUP.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW TO LOW, WITH A 25% CHANCE FOR A C-CLASS EVENT DURING THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30-2100Z to 31-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET AT ALL LATITUDES FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRONS WERE HIGH UNTIL CROSSING THE VERY HIGH THRESHOLD AT 31/1620Z, WHERE THEY REMAINDED FOR THE BALANCE OF THE REPORTING PERIOD.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Event Probabilities 01 APR to 03 APR
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       31 MAR 075
  Predicted   01 APR-03 APR  075/076/077
  90 Day Mean        31 MAR 074
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 30 MAR  009/010
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 31 MAR  005/012
PREDICTED AFR/AP 01 APR-03 APR  010/010-010/010-010/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 APR to 03 APR
A. Middle Latitudes
Active20%20%20%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%20%20%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

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