Viewing archive of Tuesday, 4 March 1997
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Mar 04 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 063 Issued at 2200Z on 04 MAR 1997IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03-2100Z to 04-2100Z THE DISK REMAINED SPOTLESS AND SOLAR ACTIVITY CONTINUED
VERY LOW. RECENT X-RAY IMAGES SHOW TWO SMALL REGIONS ABOUT TO ROTATE
OVER THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST LIMBS.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN
AT VERY LOW LEVELS FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03-2100Z to 04-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET. ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUXES AT
GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT REMAINED AT HIGH LEVELS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD SHOULD BE
QUIET TO SLIGHTLY UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. ENERGETIC
ELECTRON FLUXES SHOULD BEGIN TO DECLINE IN THE 05-06 MAR PERIOD.
III. Event Probabilities 05 MAR to 07 MAR
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 04 MAR 074 Predicted 05 MAR-07 MAR 075/076/076 90 Day Mean 04 MAR 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 03 MAR 008/005 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 04 MAR 004/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 05 MAR-07 MAR 005/008-005/008-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 MAR to 07 MAR
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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