Viewing archive of Friday, 6 December 1996
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Dec 06 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 341 Issued at 2200Z on 06 DEC 1996IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED. THE
VISIBLE DISK IS QUIET AND FEATURELESS.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 05/2100Z TO 06/21ICAL ACTIVIT
Y FORECAST: THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS, WITH ACTIVITY INCREASING
TO UNSETTLED ON DAY THREE.
III. Event Probabilities 07 DEC to 09 DEC
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 06 DEC 070 Predicted 07 DEC-09 DEC 070/070/070 90 Day Mean 06 DEC 073
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 05 DEC 002/002 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 06 DEC 002/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 07 DEC-09 DEC 005/005-005/005-010/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 DEC to 09 DEC
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 25% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 25% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 05% |
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