Viewing archive of Saturday, 7 December 1996
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Dec 07 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 342 Issued at 2200Z on 07 DEC 1996IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED. NEW
REGION 8003 (S31E23), A TWO SPOT 'BXO' BETA GROUP, WAS NUMBERED
TODAY.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT MOSTLY QUIET LEVELS FOR THE PAST 24
HOURS, WITH THE EXCEPTION BEING A SINGLE INTERVAL OF UNSETTLED
CONDITIONS AT HIGH LATITUDES DURING THE PERIOD 07/0600-0900Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, WITH ACTIVITY INCREASING
TO MOSTLY UNSETTLED ON DAYS TWO AND THREE, WITH THE CHANCE FOR
ISOLATED PERIODS OF ACTIVE CONDITIONS.
III. Event Probabilities 08 DEC to 10 DEC
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 07 DEC 069 Predicted 08 DEC-10 DEC 070/070/070 90 Day Mean 07 DEC 073
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 06 DEC 002/001 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 07 DEC 004/004 PREDICTED AFR/AP 08 DEC-10 DEC 005/005-010/012-015/017
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 DEC to 10 DEC
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 25% | 30% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 25% | 30% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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