Viewing archive of Thursday, 5 December 1996
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Dec 05 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 340 Issued at 2200Z on 05 DEC 1996IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED. THE
VISIBLE DISK REMAINS QUIET.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z
THE GEOMAGMETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS FOR THE
PAST 24 HOURSCAST: THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, AND
THEN MOSTLY QUIET ON DAYS TWO AND THREE.
III. Event Probabilities 06 DEC to 08 DEC
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 05 DEC 070 Predicted 06 DEC-08 DEC 071/071/070 90 Day Mean 05 DEC 073
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 04 DEC 009/007 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 05 DEC 005/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 06 DEC-08 DEC 010/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 DEC to 08 DEC
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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