Viewing archive of Thursday, 2 January 1997

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Jan 02 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 2 Issued at 2200Z on 02 JAN 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED VERY LOW. THE DISK CONTINUED SPOTLESS.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE AT VERY LOW LEVELS FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD SHOULD REMAIN QUIET FOR 03-04 JAN. QUIET TO UNSETTLED CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR 05 JAN.
III. Event Probabilities 03 JAN to 05 JAN
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       02 JAN 072
  Predicted   03 JAN-05 JAN  072/073/075
  90 Day Mean        02 JAN 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 01 JAN  004/002
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 02 JAN  004/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 03 JAN-05 JAN  005/005-005/005-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 JAN to 05 JAN
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%20%
Minor storm01%01%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%10%25%
Minor storm01%01%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

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