Viewing archive of Saturday, 26 October 1996
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Oct 26 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 300 Issued at 2200Z on 26 OCT 1996IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25-2100Z to 26-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED.
NEW REGION 7992 (S13W29), A THREE SPOT 'CRO' GROUP, WAS NUMBERED
TODAY.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25-2100Z to 26-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT MOSTLY QUIET LEVELS
FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS, WITH THE EXCEPTION BEING A SINGLE
PERIOD OF UNSETTLED CONDITIONS DURING THE INTERVAL
26/0000-0300Z. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX
CONTINUED MODERATE TO HIGH.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO ACTIVE FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS, AND
FALLING OFF TO QUIET TO UNSETTLED ON DAY THREE.
III. Event Probabilities 27 OCT to 29 OCT
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 26 OCT 071 Predicted 27 OCT-29 OCT 070/070/070 90 Day Mean 26 OCT 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 25 OCT 006/008 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 26 OCT 007/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 27 OCT-29 OCT 015/010-015/008-010/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 OCT to 29 OCT
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 30% | 20% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 20% | 15% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 30% | 20% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 20% | 15% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 01% |
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