Viendo archivo del lunes, 9 abril 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Apr 09 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 100 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Apr 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24
hours with two C-class events observed. Region 1450 (N15W90)
produced a C2 event at 0122Z. Around the vicinity of plage Region
1451 (N17W73), a C3 x-ray event was observed at 1244Z. Associated
with this event were both a Type II radio sweep, with an estimated
plane of sky velocity of 767 km/s and a west-limb CME, first visible
in LASCO C2 imagery at 1325Z. Initial analysis indicates the CME,
associated with this event, is non-Earth directed.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels with a slight chance for C-class flares for the next
three days (10 - 12 April) as Regions 1452 (N18W51) and 1451
continue to weaken and rotate off the west limb.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet levels on day one (10 April) and at quiet
to unsettled levels on days two and three (11-12 April), as possible
CME effects and the arrival of elevated solar wind from a favorable
positioned coronal hole arrive.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Apr a 12 Apr
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Apr 095 Previsto 10 Apr-12 Apr 095/095/090 Media de 90 Días 09 Apr 115
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Apr 004/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Apr 003/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Apr-12 Apr 005/005-007/008-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Apr a 12 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
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