Viendo archivo del domingo, 8 abril 2012

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Apr 08 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 099 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Apr 2012

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Occasional B-class flares occurred. A filament erupted from the northwest quadrant during approximately 07/1825 - 1900Z. The eruption was associated with a partial-halo CME with an estimated plane of sky speed of 690 km/s. Most of the CME mass appeared to be directed southwestward of Earth and is not expected to be significantly geoeffective. No new regions were numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low during days 1 - 3 (09 - 11 April) with a chance for an isolated C-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at unsettled levels on day 1 (09 April) with a chance for active levels due to a CME passage that is expected to begin early in the day. There will also be a chance for minor storm levels at high latitudes on day 1. Field activity is expected to decrease to quiet to unsettled levels during days 2 - 3 (10 - 11 April).
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Apr a 11 Apr
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       08 Apr 093
  Previsto   09 Apr-11 Apr  095/095/095
  Media de 90 Días        08 Apr 115
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 07 Apr  003/014
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 08 Apr  006/006
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 09 Apr-11 Apr  013/015-006/008-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Apr a 11 Apr
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo25%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%15%20%
Tormenta Menor35%10%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa30%05%15%

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