Viendo archivo del martes, 10 abril 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Apr 10 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 101 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Apr 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past
24 hours. A new region, Region 1454 (S13E70), was numbered today as
it rotated onto the east limb.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels for the next three days (11 - 13 April).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at predominantly quiet levels for the
past 24 hours. Solar wind speeds, as measured by the ACE spacecraft,
varied around 320 - 360 km/s.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (11 April) as
effects from a CME, observed on 7 April, are possible. Quiet to
unsettled levels with a chance for active levels are expected on
days two and three (12 - 13 April) as a coronal hole high speed
stream becomes geoeffective.
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Apr a 13 Apr
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 Apr 093 Previsto 11 Apr-13 Apr 090/090/090 Media de 90 Días 10 Apr 115
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 09 Apr 007/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 10 Apr 006/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 11 Apr-13 Apr 007/008-008/012-007/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Apr a 13 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
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