Viendo archivo del martes, 7 agosto 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Aug 07 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 219 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Aug 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 966 (S06E21)
produced a B1 flare at 06/2248Z. This region has simplified and is
now classified as an H-type alpha sunspot group.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from unsettled to major storm conditions
due to a coronal high speed stream. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active on 8 August as the coronal hole
moves out of a geoeffective position. Quiet to unsettled
conditions are expected on 9 August. Conditions are expected to
increase to unsettled to active, with isolated minor storm periods
on 10 August. Isolated major storm periods are also possible at
high latitudes on 10 August, in response to a recurrent coronal hole
high speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Aug a 10 Aug
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Aug 069 Previsto 08 Aug-10 Aug 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 07 Aug 072
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Aug 008/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Aug 015/025 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Aug-10 Aug 010/010-007/010-015/025
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Aug a 10 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 15% |
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