Viendo archivo del lunes, 3 septiembre 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Sep 03 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 246 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Sep 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Only one low-level
B-class flare was observed during the past 24 hours.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was predominantly quiet to unsettled. A single
period of active conditions was observed at the Boulder magnetometer
between 03/1200-1500Z. Real-time solar wind speed at ACE remains
elevated at approximately 645 km/sec at forecast issue time due to
the lingering effects of the coronal hole high speed stream. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on 04 August. Quiet conditions
are expected on 05 August. Expect quiet to active conditions to
return on 06 August, with isolated minor storm periods possible at
high latitudes, as a recurrent coronal hole moves into a
geoeffective position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Sep a 06 Sep
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 Sep 068 Previsto 04 Sep-06 Sep 068/068/068 Media de 90 Días 03 Sep 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 02 Sep 017/023 Estimado Afr/Ap 03 Sep 010/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 04 Sep-06 Sep 005/005-005/005-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Sep a 06 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 10% |
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