Viendo archivo del domingo, 30 septiembre 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Sep 30 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 273 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Sep 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during
the last 24 hours.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active during the past 24 hours.
Unsettled to active conditions predominated from the start of the
day through 1200Z due to continued effects of a high speed stream.
However, a clear downward trend in solar wind speed began at about
0800Z and geomagnetic conditions were quiet from 1200Z through the
end of the period. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next two days (01-02
October), and partway through the third day (03 October). However,
an increase to unsettled to active levels is expected around mid-day
on 03 October as a small coronal hole will be rotating into
geoeffective position at that time.
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Oct a 03 Oct
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Sep 065 Previsto 01 Oct-03 Oct 067/067/067 Media de 90 Días 30 Sep 069
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Sep 024/026 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Sep 014/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 01 Oct-03 Oct 007/008-007/010-012/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Oct a 03 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
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