Viendo archivo del sábado, 29 septiembre 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Sep 29 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 272 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 Sep 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during
the past 24 hours. Region 971 (N03W06) is a small C-type sunspot
group and was quiet and stable.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at active to minor storm levels from the
beginning of the period through 29/1200Z, and was mostly unsettled
thereafter. Real-time solar wind observations at ACE show that the
activity was due to the ongoing influence of a high speed solar wind
stream from a coronal hole. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled for the first day (30 September)
with a chance for isolated active periods. Activity should decline
to quiet to unsettled for the second and third days (01-02 October).
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 Sep a 02 Oct
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 Sep 068 Previsto 30 Sep-02 Oct 068/068/068 Media de 90 Días 29 Sep 069
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 28 Sep 015/021 Estimado Afr/Ap 29 Sep 020/025 Previsto Afr/Ap 30 Sep-02 Oct 010/015-007/008-007/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 Sep a 02 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 01% | 01% |
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