Viendo archivo del miércoles, 11 julio 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Jul 11 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 192 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 Jul 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 963 (S06E28) produced a
C1 flare at 10/2246Z, as well as several B-class flares during the
past 24 hours. This region has decayed in both area and complexity
and is now classified as a beta magnetic spot group.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low, with a slight chance for an isolated C-class flare from Region
963.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to minor storm conditions due
to the coronal hole high speed stream. Solar wind speed at ACE
reached a peak of 602 km/s at 11/0726Z and again at 11/1724Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Solar activity is expected to
be quiet to unsettled for the next three days (12-14 June). There
is a slight chance for isolated active periods early on day one (12
June) due to the coronal hole high speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 Jul a 14 Jul
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 11 Jul 079 Previsto 12 Jul-14 Jul 080/085/085 Media de 90 Días 11 Jul 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 10 Jul 005/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 11 Jul 019/025 Previsto Afr/Ap 12 Jul-14 Jul 008/015-005/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 Jul a 14 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 01% | 01% |
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