Viendo archivo del lunes, 6 agosto 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Aug 06 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 218 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Aug 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity was low. Two C-class flares were
produced by Region 966 (S06E34), a C1/Sf at 0913Z and a C1/Sf at
1537Z. The event at 0913Z was accompanied by a type II radio sweep.
Region 966 has shown modest growth during the past 24 hours and is
now a small, D-type sunspot group.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet from the beginning of the period
through 06/1500Z. Since then activity has increased to unsettled to
active levels. The increase is being driven by the onset of a high
speed stream from a coronal hole, as evidenced by steadily rising
solar wind speeds.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active with a chance for minor storm
periods at high latitudes for the next 24 hours (07 August) as the
current disturbance continues. Conditions should decline to mostly
unsettled by the 2nd day (08 August) and should be predominantly
quiet by day 3 (09 August).
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Aug a 09 Aug
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 Aug 070 Previsto 07 Aug-09 Aug 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 06 Aug 072
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 Aug 002/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 Aug 007/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 Aug-09 Aug 015/020-010/010-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Aug a 09 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 45% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 10% | 01% |
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