Viendo archivo del miércoles, 8 agosto 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Aug 08 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 220 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Aug 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 966 (S06E07)
developed in size and complexity, but produced only a B-class flare.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Solar wind speed
remains elevated at approximately 500 km/s due to a geoeffective
coronal hole. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on 09 August. Expect unsettled to
active conditions, with isolated minor to major storm periods, on 10
August due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.
Conditions should become quiet to unsettled on 11 August as the
coronal hole moves out of a geoeffective position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Aug a 11 Aug
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Aug 069 Previsto 09 Aug-11 Aug 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 08 Aug 072
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Aug 023/023 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Aug 007/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Aug-11 Aug 007/010-015/025-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Aug a 11 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 40% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 15% | 10% |
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