Viewing archive of Wednesday, 6 March 2024
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2024 Mar 06 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 66 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Mar 2024IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at
05/2351Z from Region 3595 (N21W74). There are currently 8 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (07
Mar, 08 Mar, 09 Mar).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 458 km/s at 06/0421Z. Total IMF reached 8
nT at 06/0102Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
06/0205Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 159 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (07 Mar), quiet to active levels on day
two (08 Mar) and quiet to minor storm levels on day three (09 Mar).
III. Event Probabilities 07 Mar to 09 Mar
| Class M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 06 Mar 136 Predicted 07 Mar-09 Mar 135/140/140 90 Day Mean 06 Mar 163
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Mar 007/005 Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Mar 008/008 Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Mar-09 Mar 007/008-014/015-015/020
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Mar to 09 Mar
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 35% | 40% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 20% | 25% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 15% | 30% | 25% |
| Major-severe storm | 15% | 50% | 60% |
Latest news
Thursday, 9 May 2024
Severe G4 geomagnetic storm watch
Wednesday, 8 May 2024
Sunspot region 3664, major flares and CMEs!
Monday, 6 May 2024
X4.5 solar flare
Latest forum messages
AR3664 678[CME] AR 13664, flare flurry, CMEs galore, 2024-05-08/09 198Filaments and prominences 89Is there any truth to this "Internet/Electrical Grid Apocalypse"? 105Incoming Active Regions 243
More topicsSupport SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online!
Space weather facts
| Last X-flare | 2024/05/10 | X3.8 |
| Last M-flare | 2024/05/10 | M1.3 |
| Last geomagnetic storm | 2024/05/06 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Spotless days | |
|---|---|
| Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
| Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
|---|---|
| April 2024 | 136.5 +31.6 |
| Last 30 days | 167.9 +77.8 |