Viewing archive of Tuesday, 7 July 2020
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2020 Jul 07 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 189 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Jul 2020IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (08 Jul, 09 Jul, 10 Jul).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 512 km/s at 06/2101Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
07/0201Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -2 nT at
07/1019Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 222 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (08 Jul, 09 Jul)
and quiet levels on day three (10 Jul).
III. Event Probabilities 08 Jul to 10 Jul
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 07 Jul 068 Predicted 08 Jul-10 Jul 068/068/068 90 Day Mean 07 Jul 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 Jul 006/004 Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Jul 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Jul-10 Jul 007/008-008/008-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Jul to 10 Jul
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 20% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 25% | 25% | 15% |
| Major-severe storm | 25% | 25% | 10% |
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