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Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2020 Jul 08 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 190 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Jul 2020

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (09 Jul, 10 Jul, 11 Jul).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 409 km/s at 07/2301Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 224 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (09 Jul) and quiet levels on days two and three (10 Jul, 11 Jul).
III. Event Probabilities 09 Jul to 11 Jul
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       08 Jul 067
  Predicted   09 Jul-11 Jul 068/068/068
  90 Day Mean        08 Jul 069

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 07 Jul  005/005
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 08 Jul  003/004
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 09 Jul-11 Jul  008/008-006/005-006/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Jul to 11 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active20%05%05%
Minor storm05%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm25%15%15%
Major-severe storm25%10%10%

All times in UTC

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