Viewing archive of Wednesday, 10 June 2020
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2020 Jun 10 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 162 Issued at 2200Z on 10 Jun 2020IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (11 Jun, 12 Jun, 13 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 504 km/s at 10/1256Z. Total IMF reached 7
nT at 10/0437Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
10/0426Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 124 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (11 Jun, 12 Jun, 13
Jun).
III. Event Probabilities 11 Jun to 13 Jun
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 10 Jun 071 Predicted 11 Jun-13 Jun 072/070/070 90 Day Mean 10 Jun 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 09 Jun 005/004 Estimated Afr/Ap 10 Jun 007/007 Predicted Afr/Ap 11 Jun-13 Jun 005/005-005/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 Jun to 13 Jun
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Major-severe storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
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