Viewing archive of Monday, 28 June 2010

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2010 Jun 28 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 179 Issued at 2200Z on 28 Jun 2010

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 27-2100Z to 28-2100Z

Solar activity has been very low. Region 1084 (S19E46) was quiet and stable. No flares were observed during the period.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 27-2100Z to 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been predominately quiet with an isolated unsettled period at 27/0300-0600Z. Observations from the ACE satellite indicate the continuation of a high speed solar wind stream, with wind speeds at about 525km/s during the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled on days one and two (29-30 June). Quiet to unsettled conditions with isolated active periods are expected on day three (01-July).
III. Event Probabilities 29 Jun to 01 Jul
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       28 Jun 074
  Predicted   29 Jun-01 Jul  074/075/072
  90 Day Mean        28 Jun 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 27 Jun  012/013
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 28 Jun  008/008
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 29 Jun-01 Jul  008/010-008/010-012/015
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 29 Jun to 01 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%20%
Minor storm05%05%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%25%
Minor storm10%10%20%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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