Viewing archive of Saturday, 6 March 2010

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2010 Mar 06 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 065 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Mar 2010

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Only low-level B-class events were observed during the period. A filament near N17E23 disappeared between 06/0521Z and 06/0656Z. A CME was observed on the east limb at approximately 06/0703Z.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low for the next three days (07 - 09 March).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet on day one (07 March). Quiet to unsettled levels are expected on days two and three (08 - 09 March) in response to the CME observed on 06 March.
III. Event Probabilities 07 Mar to 09 Mar
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       06 Mar 078
  Predicted   07 Mar-09 Mar  080/080/080
  90 Day Mean        06 Mar 081
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 05 Mar  001/002
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 06 Mar  005/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 07 Mar-09 Mar  005/005-007/008-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Mar to 09 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%15%15%
Minor storm01%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%20%20%
Minor storm01%10%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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