Viewing archive of Saturday, 6 March 2010
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2010 Mar 06 2201 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 065 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Mar 2010IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Only low-level B-class
events were observed during the period. A filament near N17E23
disappeared between 06/0521Z and 06/0656Z. A CME was observed on the
east limb at approximately 06/0703Z.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next three days (07 - 09 March).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet on day one (07 March). Quiet to unsettled
levels are expected on days two and three (08 - 09 March) in
response to the CME observed on 06 March.
III. Event Probabilities 07 Mar to 09 Mar
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 06 Mar 078 Predicted 07 Mar-09 Mar 080/080/080 90 Day Mean 06 Mar 081
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Mar 001/002 Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Mar 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Mar-09 Mar 005/005-007/008-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Mar to 09 Mar
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 20% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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