Viewing archive of Monday, 26 October 2009
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2009 Oct 26 2201 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 299 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Oct 2009IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25-2100Z to 26-2100Z Solar activity was low. A C1 flare was observed at
26/1906Z from Region 1029 (N16W29).
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be low
with a slight chance of an M-class flare.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25-2100Z to 26-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
Geomagnetic activity is
expected to be quiet.
III. Event Probabilities 27 Oct to 29 Oct
| Class M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 26 Oct 081 Predicted 27 Oct-29 Oct 075/075/075 90 Day Mean 26 Oct 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 25 Oct 003/005 Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Oct 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Oct-29 Oct 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Oct to 29 Oct
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 00% | 00% | 00% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 00% | 00% | 00% |
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