Viewing archive of Tuesday, 22 November 2005
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2005 Nov 22 2204 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 326 Issued at 2200Z on 22 Nov 2005IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 21-2100Z to 22-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels. Region 822
(S07W51) produced a B7.7 flare at 22/1516 UTC. Region 824 (S12E46)
has remained quiescent. Region 823 (S15W76) is now a plage region
without spots. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels with a slight chance for M-class activity
from Region 822.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 21-2100Z to 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels.
III. Event Probabilities 23 Nov to 25 Nov
| Class M | 20% | 15% | 05% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 22 Nov 093 Predicted 23 Nov-25 Nov 095/090/085 90 Day Mean 22 Nov 085
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 21 Nov 002/003 Estimated Afr/Ap 22 Nov 003/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 23 Nov-25 Nov 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 Nov to 25 Nov
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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