Viewing archive of Saturday, 29 October 2005
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2005 Oct 29 2204 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 302 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Oct 2005IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z Solar activity continues at very low levels. A small
sunspot developed near S08E66 and was numbered as Region 818.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. Solar wind speed has declined to
near 360 km/s.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is
expected to continue at quiet levels.
III. Event Probabilities 30 Oct to 01 Nov
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 29 Oct 074 Predicted 30 Oct-01 Nov 075/075/075 90 Day Mean 29 Oct 086
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 28 Oct 004/005 Estimated Afr/Ap 29 Oct 003/003 Predicted Afr/Ap 30 Oct-01 Nov 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Oct to 01 Nov
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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