Viewing archive of Sunday, 29 August 2004

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2004 Aug 29 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 242 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Aug 2004

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z

IB. Solar Activity Forecast

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast

III. Event Probabilities 30 Aug to 01 Sep

Class M	05%	05%	10%
Class X	01%	01%	01%
Proton	01%	01%	01%
PCAF	green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

  Observed       29 Aug 086
  Predicted   30 Aug-01 Sep  085/090/110
  90 Day Mean        29 Aug 109

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

  Observed Afr/Ap 28 Aug  006/012
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 29 Aug  004/007
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 30 Aug-01 Sep  004/005-004/005-005/008

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Aug to 01 Sep

A. Middle Latitudes
Active	10%	10%	10%
Minor storm	01%	01%	01%
Major-severe storm	01%	01%	01%

B. High Latitudes
Active	15%	15%	15%
Minor storm	05%	05%	05%
Major-severe storm	01%	01%	01%

VII. COMMENTS The ACE spacecraft orbit will bring ACE to its closest approach with the Sun on August 30, 2004. During that time possible solar radio noise may interfere with spacecraft telemetry resulting in the loss of real time solar wind plasma, magnetic field, and particle data.

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