Viewing archive of Saturday, 2 December 2000

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2000 Dec 02 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 337 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Dec 2000

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Little of significance occurred as the regions on the disk were either stable or in decay. Region 9246 (S12W08) is the brightest of the nine spotted regions.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to continue low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled throughout the period.
III. Event Probabilities 03 Dec to 05 Dec
Class M10%10%10%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       02 Dec 167
  Predicted   03 Dec-05 Dec  165/160/155
  90 Day Mean        02 Dec 177
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 01 Dec  003/006
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 02 Dec  003/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 03 Dec-05 Dec  005/008-005/008-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Dec to 05 Dec
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%20%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%20%25%
Minor storm05%05%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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