Viewing archive of Sunday, 8 September 1996
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Sep 08 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 252 Issued at 2200Z on 08 SEP 1996IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY CONTINUED VERY LOW. REGION 7988
(S25W12) DECAYED AND WAS SPOTLESS FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE
PERIOD.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE
VERY LOW FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO SLIGHTLY UNSETTLED.
ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUXES AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WERE LOW
TO MODERATE.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
FORECAST TO BE QUIET ON 09 SEP. PREDOMINANTLY UNSETTLED
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON 10-11 SEP. ISOLATED ACTIVE
INTERVALS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THAT TIME.
III. Event Probabilities 09 SEP to 11 SEP
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 08 SEP 068 Predicted 09 SEP-11 SEP 068/068/068 90 Day Mean 08 SEP 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 07 SEP 008/010 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 SEP 006/007 PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 SEP-11 SEP 005/007-010/009-010/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 SEP to 11 SEP
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 20% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 10% | 15% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 20% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 05% | 05% |
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