Viendo archivo del viernes, 27 mayo 2011

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 May 28 0225 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

:::::::::: CORRECTED COPY :::::::::: SDF Número 147 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 May 2011

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z

Solar activity was low. New Region 1226 (S18E74) produced a B-class event and four C-class events since being numbered today. The largest was a C5 observed at 27/1643Z. This region began with a B1 event at 26/1654Z as it approached the southeast limb yesterday. It is currently an H-type group, however, the region is still rotating onto the disk and more white light area are evident in the SDO/HMI imagery just visible on the limb. Region 1223 (S16W00) produced the only other event during the period, a B4 at 27/0953Z. This region is a Dso group with a beta magnetic classification and grew slightly in sunspot count. Two more regions were numbered today as Regions 1224 (N21W15) and 1225 (N18E55). Region 1224 is a Dso group with a beta magnetic classification and 1225 is another H-type group.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for C-class events, and a slight chance for an M-class event, as regions on the disk continue to evolve.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Observations from the ACE spacecraft suggest the earth is under the continued influence of the co-rotating interaction region in advance of the recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. Solar winds have slowly increased from around 390 to 500 km/s. The IMF Bt averaged around 8 nT with the Bz mostly southward (-8 nT) through the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominately unsettled with occasional active periods, including isolated minor storm conditions at high-latitudes for day one (28 May). This is expected due to effects from the recurrent coronal hole high speed stream (CH HSS). In addition there are possible effects from the disappearing filament observed on 25 May. Quiet to unsettled conditions, with isolated active levels, are expected for days two and three (29-30 May) with continued CH HSS effects.
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 May a 30 May
Clase M10%10%10%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       27 May 090
  Previsto   28 May-30 May  090/095/095
  Media de 90 Días        27 May 108
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 26 May  004/007
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 27 May  010/012
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 28 May-30 May  015/018-010/012-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 May a 30 May
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo25%20%15%
Tormenta Menor10%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo35%30%20%
Tormenta Menor15%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%

< < Ir a la visión general diaria

Últimas noticias

Apoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!

Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!

54%
Apoya a SpaceWeatherLive con nuestro merchandise
Échale un ojo a nuestro merchandise

Hechos clima espacial

Último evento clase X2024/05/05X1.2
Último evento clase M2024/05/06M1.3
Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas2024/05/02Kp7- (G3)
Días sin manchas
Último día sin manchas2022/06/08
Promedio de manchas solares mensuales
abril 2024136.5 +31.6
Last 30 days156.6 +63.6

Efemérides*

Llamarada solar
11998X3.81
21998M4.04
32015M2.81
42014M2.65
52012M1.96
ApG
11988106G3
2196060G3
3198667G3
4194641G3
5197150G2
*desde 1994

Redes sociales