Viendo archivo del miércoles, 22 septiembre 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Sep 22 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 265 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Sep 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels. There were
numerous B-class events, most of which were produced by Region 1109
(N22E67). Region 1109 is a Dko group with a beta magnetic
configuration and has increased in size over the last 24 hours.
Region 1108 (S30W09) is now an Hhx alpha group.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels with a slight chance for M-class events for
the next three days (23-25 September).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels during the past 24
hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active on days one and two (23-24
September) due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. Day
three (25 September) is expected to be mostly unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Sep a 25 Sep
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Sep 085 Previsto 23 Sep-25 Sep 088/088/088 Media de 90 Días 22 Sep 079
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Sep 005/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Sep 002/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Sep-25 Sep 015/018-015/018-012/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Sep a 25 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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