Viendo archivo del martes, 21 septiembre 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Sep 21 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 264 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Sep 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24
hours. New Region 1109 (N19E75) was numbered today as it rotated
onto the visible disk. Region 1109 produced a few C-class events,
the largest was a C1 flare at 21/0738Z. Region 1108 (S30E14)
decreased in areal coverage and sunspot number but has retained its
bi-polar magnetic classification. Region 1106 (S22W69) has continued
to decay and now has an alpha magnetic classification.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels with a slight chance for M-class activity for the next
three days (22-24 September).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at unsettled to active levels on days one and two
(22-23 September) due to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream.
Mostly unsettled levels are expected on day three (24 September).
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Sep a 24 Sep
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 Sep 085 Previsto 22 Sep-24 Sep 088/088/088 Media de 90 Días 21 Sep 079
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 20 Sep 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 21 Sep 006/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 22 Sep-24 Sep 015/018-015/018-012/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Sep a 24 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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