Viendo archivo del jueves, 23 septiembre 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Sep 23 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 266 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Sep 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 1108 (S30W22) has
decreased in areal coverage and is an Hkx group with an alpha
magnetic configuration. 1109 (N22E54) showed little change in
either extent or areal coverage over the past 24 hours and is a Dso
group with a beta magnetic configuration.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
predominantly very low levels with a chance for C-class activity.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet for the past 24 hours. Data
from the ACE spacecraft indicated the arrival of a co-rotating
interaction region in advance of a coronal hole high speed stream.
The total magnetic field increased to 13 nT at 23/1145Z, Bz remained
predominately northward and wind velocity steadily increased, ending
the period near 460 km/s.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled for day one (24 September) and
decreasing to quiet to unsettled levels for day two (25 September)
due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. Quiet levels are
expected to predominate on day three (26 September).
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Sep a 26 Sep
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 23 Sep 084 Previsto 24 Sep-26 Sep 085/085/085 Media de 90 Días 23 Sep 079
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 22 Sep 001/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 23 Sep 005/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 24 Sep-26 Sep 010/010-007/007-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Sep a 26 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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