Viendo archivo del martes, 30 agosto 2005

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Aug 30 2207 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 242 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Aug 2005

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z

Solar activity was at low levels. Region 806 (S17E37) was responsible for all recorded flare activity today. The largest event observed during the period was a C6/Sf flare occurring at 30/2155Z. This region remains a magnetically structured beta-gamma group with little change seen in sunspot coverage from yesterday. Region 803 (N11E01) continued to show signs of decay and was quiescent during the period. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at predominantly quiet levels. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high level again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on 31 August. Active to minor storming condition may be possible on 01 and 02 September due to coronal hole effects.
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 Aug a 02 Sep
Clase M30%30%30%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       30 Aug 086
  Previsto   31 Aug-02 Sep  085/080/080
  Media de 90 Días        30 Aug 094
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 29 Aug  005/009
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 30 Aug  005/009
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 31 Aug-02 Sep  006/010-012/015-016/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 Aug a 02 Sep
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%20%30%
Tormenta Menor05%10%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%05%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%30%40%
Tormenta Menor10%15%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%10%

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