Viendo archivo del miércoles, 3 agosto 2005

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Aug 03 2204 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 215 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Aug 2005

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z

Solar activity remained at moderate levels. Region 794 (S11E34) produced the largest flare of the period, an M3/1n event that occurred at 03/0506Z. A Tenflare (120 sfu) and a Type II spectral radio sweep that had an estimated shock velocity of 725 km/sec accompanied the flare. LASCO imagery depicted a CME that does not appear to have an Earth directed component. This region continues to show steady growth in magnetic development and sunspot count. Showing steady decay, Region 792 (N11W01) was limited to B and C-class flare activity today. The delta structure seen yesterday in the northern portion of the sunspot cluster is no longer visible although gamma structures are apparent in both polarities. Region 796 (S07E05) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at moderate levels. Regions 792 and 794 are capable of producing M-class flare activity.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels. Isolated active conditions are possible on 04 August due to the potential for transient activity associated with the CME events seen on 01 and 02 August.
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Aug a 06 Aug
Clase M60%60%60%
Clase X15%15%15%
Protón15%15%15%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       03 Aug 109
  Previsto   04 Aug-06 Aug  110/110/105
  Media de 90 Días        03 Aug 096
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 02 Aug  009/012
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 03 Aug  007/008
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 04 Aug-06 Aug  012/015-005/012-007/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Aug a 06 Aug
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo25%15%15%
Tormenta Menor10%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo35%25%20%
Tormenta Menor15%10%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%01%

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