Viendo archivo del jueves, 4 agosto 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Aug 04 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 216 Publicado el 2200Z a las 04 Aug 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 03-2100Z hasta 04-2100Z Solar activity decreased to low levels today. Region
794 (S11E19) produced a C8/Sf event at 04/0559Z, which was the
largest flare of the period. A resulting CME was seen on LASCO C2
imagery which does not appear to be Earth directed. This region
continues to show steady growth in sunspot area. Region 792
(N11W14) produced a single C-class flare today and underwent
continued decay in magnetic complexity. No new regions were
numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low to moderate levels. Regions 792 and 794 are capable of
producing isolated M-class flare activity.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 03-2100Z a 04-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at predominantly quiet to unsettled levels.
A period of active conditions occurred at high latitudes between
04/0600Z and 0900Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels.
III. Probabilidades del evento 05 Aug a 07 Aug
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 04 Aug 106 Previsto 05 Aug-07 Aug 105/105/100 Media de 90 Días 04 Aug 096
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 03 Aug 006/011 Estimado Afr/Ap 04 Aug 010/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 05 Aug-07 Aug 007/012-007/012-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 05 Aug a 07 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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