Viendo archivo del lunes, 29 agosto 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Aug 29 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 241 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 Aug 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z Solar activity decreased to low levels. Region 803
(N11E14) continues to decay and was limited to minor B-class flare
activity. The delta structure seen yesterday has eroded away
although gamma structures remain evident. New Region 806 (S17E50)
emerged today and produced the largest flare of the period, a C1
x-ray flare occurring at 29/1703Z. This regions appears to have
beta-gamma magnetic characteristics. A full halo CME was observed
on LASCO imagery beginning at 29/1054Z, it has been determined to be
a back-sided event.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at predominantly quiet to unsettled levels.
Active conditions were observed between 29/0300 and 0600Z following
several hours of sustained southward Bz. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on 30-31 August. Active
conditions are possible on 01 September due to the onset of a
coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 Aug a 01 Sep
| Clase M | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 Aug 089 Previsto 30 Aug-01 Sep 090/090/085 Media de 90 Días 29 Aug 093
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 28 Aug 005/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 29 Aug 005/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 30 Aug-01 Sep 005/008-008/012-012/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 Aug a 01 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
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