Viendo archivo del domingo, 28 agosto 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Aug 28 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 240 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 Aug 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z Solar activity increased to moderate levels today.
Region 803 (N11E27) produced the largest flare of the period, an
impulsive M1/Sf event that occurred at 28/1028Z. This region
underwent some decay of penumbral coverage during the period with a
delta structure materializing in the leading portion of this
reversed polarity spot group. A disappearing solar filament was
reported in the southwest solar quadrant, occurring between 28/0755
and 0946Z. The remaining spotted groups were quiescent over the
past 24 hours. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels. Region 803 is capable of producing further isolated
M-class flare activity.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at predominantly quiet levels. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels
today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly quiet to unsettled levels for 29-31
August.
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 Aug a 31 Aug
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 28 Aug 090 Previsto 29 Aug-31 Aug 090/085/085 Media de 90 Días 28 Aug 093
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 27 Aug 004/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 28 Aug 004/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 29 Aug-31 Aug 005/008-005/008-005/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 Aug a 31 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
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