Viendo archivo del jueves, 3 febrero 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Feb 03 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 034 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Feb 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Occasional B-class flares
were observed from an active region rotating around the southeast
limb. Region 729 (S11W25) continues to decay and is the only sunspot
on the visible disk. A 15 degree filament erupted from near N10W07
at around 03/0600Z, but there does not appear to be any
Earth-directed ejecta. Brightness on the southeast and northeast
limb indicates additional active regions will soon rotate into view.
Old active Region 720 (N13, L-178) is due to rotate into view on 05
February.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. Activity levels are expected to increase as active
regions rotate into view over the next three days.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled with an isolated active
period between 03/0300 - 0600Z. The solar wind speed remains
slightly elevated at just over 500 km/s. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels again
today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods.
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Feb a 06 Feb
| Clase M | 05% | 10% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 Feb 083 Previsto 04 Feb-06 Feb 090/100/115 Media de 90 Días 03 Feb 101
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 02 Feb 007/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 03 Feb 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 04 Feb-06 Feb 008/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Feb a 06 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
sábado, 4 mayo 2024
Sunspot region 3663, X1 solar flare
lunes, 22 abril 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
sábado, 23 marzo 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
Últimos mensajes del foro
Weakening of Earths magnetic field due to geomagnetic excursion 12Space Weather Memes 341AR3664 252024/05/03 X1.69 CME 14Unspecified geomagnetic activity 1015
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 2024/05/05 | X1.2 |
| Último evento clase M | 2024/05/05 | M1.0 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 2024/05/02 | Kp7- (G3) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 2022/06/08 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2024 | 136.5 +31.6 |
| Last 30 days | 153.8 +59.7 |