Viendo archivo del miércoles, 31 marzo 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Mar 31 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 091 Publicado el 2200Z a las 31 Mar 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 31-2100Z Solar activity was at low levels. Region 582 (N14W09)
produced many B and C-class flares throughout the period. The
sunspot coverage decreased slightly today while the gamma magnetic
structure remained intact. Region 581 (S53W15) produced a C2 x-ray
flare at 31/2308Z that was preceded by a small filament eruption.
Region 587 (S13E37) showed a significant growth in sunspot area
during the past 24 hours although there was no flare activity noted
in this region today. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low to moderate levels. Region 582 remains capable of producing
M-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 31-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. The greater
than 2 MeV electron fluxes at geosynchronous orbit reached high
levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly quiet levels with periods of
unsettled conditions are anticipated throughout the period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Apr a 03 Apr
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 31 Mar 121 Previsto 01 Apr-03 Apr 120/125/125 Media de 90 Días 31 Mar 111
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 30 Mar 009/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 31 Mar 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 01 Apr-03 Apr 005/008-005/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Apr a 03 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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