Viendo archivo del martes, 30 marzo 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Mar 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 090 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Mar 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 582 (N14E04) produced
numerous C-class flares. The largest of these was a C8/Sf at 29/2324
UTC. The Region continues to be the largest and most active group on
the solar disk. The other regions on the solar disk were stable and
quiet.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. There is a fair chance for an isolated M-class event
from Region 582 during the next three days (31 March - 2 April)
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active levels during the
past 24 hours. Solar wind speed continues to be enhanced due to a
high speed stream, but showed a continuing declining trend. The
greater than 2 MeV electron fluxes reached high levels during the
past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to quiet tomorrow (31 March). Conditions
should be predominantly quiet for the second and third days (1-2
April).
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 Mar a 02 Apr
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Mar 127 Previsto 31 Mar-02 Apr 130/130/135 Media de 90 Días 30 Mar 111
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Mar 012/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Mar 012/017 Previsto Afr/Ap 31 Mar-02 Apr 010/010-005/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 Mar a 02 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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