Viendo archivo del viernes, 26 marzo 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Mar 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 086 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Mar 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z Solar activity decreased to very low levels. Region
582 (N16E59) continued to show growth in sunspot coverage and
magnetic complexity. Although, this region was limited to minor
B-class flare production today. Region 574 (S04W65) has undergone
steady decay throughout the period. Region 578 (N15W34) showed a
slight decay in sunspot coverage. Region 581 (S03E53) exhibited
grow and now has sunspots in both polarities. No new regions were
numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low to moderate levels. Region 582 has the potential to produce an
M-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at predominantly quiet to unsettled levels.
An isolated active period was observed at the Boulder magnetometer
between 26/1500 and 1800Z. The greater than 2 MeV electron fluxes
at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly unsettled to active levels. A
recurrent high speed coronal hole stream is expected to be
geo-effective throughout the period with isolated minor storm
conditions possible, mostly at higher latitudes.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Mar a 29 Mar
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 Mar 124 Previsto 27 Mar-29 Mar 125/120/115 Media de 90 Días 26 Mar 110
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 25 Mar 003/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 26 Mar 008/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 27 Mar-29 Mar 010/015-010/015-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Mar a 29 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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