Viendo archivo del jueves, 25 marzo 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Mar 25 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 085 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Mar 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z Solar activity was moderate. Newly visible Region 582
(N16E72) rotated onto the disk, elevating activity levels. It
produced an M1/Sf at 24/2329UTC, and an M2/Sf at 0439UTC. The region
emerged on the invisible disk and arrives with hot plage and a
bright x-ray corona. Elsewhere, the six other visible regions were
mostly quiet and stable.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
moderate, due to additional M-level activity from Region 582.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. ACE data show a slight
increase in solar wind radial speed and magnetic field strength
through the period. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geostationary orbit was high for a short time.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled early, then slightly more
disturbed through the interval. A high speed stream may begin to
affect the field late on 28 March.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Mar a 28 Mar
| Clase M | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 Mar 127 Previsto 26 Mar-28 Mar 130/135/130 Media de 90 Días 25 Mar 110
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 24 Mar 001/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 25 Mar 007/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 26 Mar-28 Mar 005/010-010/010-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Mar a 28 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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