Viendo archivo del viernes, 5 marzo 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Mar 05 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 065 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 Mar 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z Solar activity was at low levels. New Region 570
(S13E84) produced several C-class flares today, the largest was a C6
x-ray event that occurred at 05/0912Z. Currently, a large
asymmetrical sunspot has emerged onto the visible disk and further
analysis of this region is pending. Region 567 (S12W42) underwent
no significant changes today and flare production was limited to
several B-class events. The largest was a B9 x-ray flare that
occurred at 05/0103Z. LASCO imagery does not depict any significant
CME activity associated with today's events. The remainder of the
disk was fairly quiescent today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low to moderate levels. Region 567 exhibits the magnetic complexity
to produce isolated M-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. The greater
than 2 MeV electron fluxes at geosynchronous orbit reached high
levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly quiet to unsettled levels throughout
the period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 Mar a 08 Mar
| Clase M | 40% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 05 Mar 107 Previsto 06 Mar-08 Mar 115/120/120 Media de 90 Días 05 Mar 111
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 04 Mar 004/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 05 Mar 004/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 06 Mar-08 Mar 005/008-005/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 Mar a 08 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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