Viendo archivo del viernes, 7 febrero 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Feb 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 038 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Feb 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity was at low levels. The only significant
activity was a C1.0 long-duration event from Region 274 (S06W63) at
07/1628 UTC. Regions 276 (S13E00) and 278 (N18E40) acquired a gamma
magnetic structure during the period. Region 277 continues to be
active. Regions 282 (N12E35) and 283 (N01E52) were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at predominately quiet to unsettled levels.
High latitudes experienced an isolated active period from 07/1200
to 07/1500 UTC. Solar wind observation continued to show a high
speed stream associated with a subsiding coronal hole. The greater
than 2MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to subside to and remain at mostly quiet with isolated
periods of unsettled levels due to the departure of the coronal
hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Feb a 10 Feb
| Clase M | 45% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Feb 157 Previsto 08 Feb-10 Feb 160/165/170 Media de 90 Días 07 Feb 153
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Feb 008/016 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Feb 012/014 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Feb-10 Feb 006/008-007/008-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Feb a 10 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 45% | 45% | 45% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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