Viendo archivo del viernes, 10 enero 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Jan 10 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 010 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Jan 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z Solar activity has been low. Only C-class events were
observed through the period. Region 242 (S08W48) has shown a
decrease in area and sunspots but retains its beta gamma magnetic
configuration. Region 247 (S15E20) has maintained its area and spot
count and the magnetic configuration of the region became a beta
gamma configuration. Region 251 (S13E44) has an area of 340
millionths of white light with 12 spots and a beta configuration.
Two new regions were numbered today as Region 253 (N11W36) and 254
(S15E72).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Isolated M-class events are possible from Region 242,
247, and 251.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain quiet to unsettled for the next three days.
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Jan a 13 Jan
| Clase M | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 Jan 185 Previsto 11 Jan-13 Jan 190/195/200 Media de 90 Días 10 Jan 164
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 09 Jan 002/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 10 Jan 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 11 Jan-13 Jan 008/010-005/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Jan a 13 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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