Viendo archivo del jueves, 27 junio 2002
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Jun 27 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 178 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 Jun 2002IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z Solar activity decreased to very low levels. Isolated
B-class X-ray flares occurred, most of which were optically
uncorrelated. Minor decay was observed in Region 8 (S12W41), which
was the source for a B-class X-ray flare late in the period. Region
5 (N12W72) was also the source for an isolated B-class subflare. It
remained simply-structured as it approached the west limb. Region 11
(S11W05) showed minor decay and remained a simple bipole. The
remaining active regions were stable and simply-structured. New
Region 17 (S19E14) emerged during the period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels. Isolated C-class flares are possible from
Regions 8 and 11.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity remained at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to remain at quiet to unsettled levels.
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 Jun a 30 Jun
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 27 Jun 139 Previsto 28 Jun-30 Jun 140/140/140 Media de 90 Días 27 Jun 174
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 26 Jun 005/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 27 Jun 004/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 28 Jun-30 Jun 007/008-007/008-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 Jun a 30 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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